ESM CORNER

8TH PAY COMMISSION DELAY: GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES MAY NOT GET SALARY HIKE UNTIL 2028

The government gave its approval in January 2025 to form the 8th Central Pay Commission (8th CPC). However, as of June 2025, no further progress has been made. The structure of the commission is still incomplete, the Terms of Reference (ToR) haven’t been finalized, and no members have been appointed.

This delay has become a matter of concern for more than 1.2 crore central government employees and pensioners, who were expecting a salary and pension revision from January 1, 2026. Now, looking at how things are progressing, it seems the new pay scale may only be implemented around 2028.

The government’s announcement in January 2025 brought hope, but things haven’t moved forward. The key step — appointing a chairperson and other members — has still not happened. Most importantly, the ToR, which outlines what the commission can do and recommend, is still under discussion.

Although a notification has been issued to appoint 35 support staff for the commission, this is only a basic step. The actual formation of the commission is still pending.

Here’s a quick look at how previous commissions were formed and how long they took:

Pay CommissionFormed OnReport SubmittedImplemented FromTime TakenNotes
6th Pay Commission5 Oct 200624 Mar 20081 Jan 2006 (retrospective)~2 years totalApproved in Aug 2008; Arrears paid in 2 parts
7th Pay Commission28 Feb 201419 Nov 20151 Jan 2016 (retrospective)~2.3 years totalApproved in June 2016; Partial arrears paid
8th Pay Commission (Expected)Late 2025 (estimated)Late 2027 or 2028 (expected)Possibly 1 Jan 2026 (retrospective)~2+ years (expected)Nothing final yet; ToR and report pending

If we go by the timelines of the past, and if the 8th CPC is formed by the end of 2025, the report might not be ready before late 2027 or early 2028. Add more time for approval, and the actual implementation could happen in mid to late 2028.

The 7th Pay Commission was effected from 1 January 2016. Naturally, employees were expecting the 8th CPC to begin from 1 January 2026 — exactly ten years later.

But without ToR, appointments, or any report yet, this seems highly unlikely now. Even if the government decides to apply the new pay scales from 2026 retrospectively, the actual implementation and payment of arrears may take place only in 2028 or later.

Several employee organizations have submitted their key demands, which include:

esm-corner-8th-pay-commission

The fitment factor determines how much the current basic pay will increase. It is a multiplier applied to existing salaries.

Past Fitment Factors:

Expected for 8th CPC: Between 1.92x and 2.86x

If the minimum current basic pay of ₹18,000 is revised using 2.86x, it could become approximately ₹51,480. However, this is just speculation. The actual amount will depend on government finances, inflation rates, and the recommendations of the commission.

Retired employees are also eagerly waiting for the 8th CPC. Their main hopes are:

But these can only be considered once the ToR is finalized and the commission starts its work.

There are a few possible reasons:

  1. Financial Pressure: The government has many ongoing expenses like social welfare schemes, defense pensions, and infrastructure. A large pay hike may strain the budget.
  2. Upcoming Elections: Some believe that the delay may be intentional, as the government might want to implement the pay hike around the 2029 Lok Sabha elections.
  3. Inflation Concerns: A major salary revision could increase market prices and inflation, especially in cities.

All these factors are likely being considered by the Finance Ministry before finalizing the ToR.

Even though the government has approved the formation of the 8th Pay Commission, the real work hasn’t started yet. As a result, central government employees and pensioners will likely have to wait until 2028 to see any actual changes in their salaries or pensions.

While the government might still apply the new pay scales from January 1, 2026 with arrears, the decision depends on how soon the commission is formed and how fast it submits its report.

Until then, employees and pensioners can only wait, hope, and stay informed — while employee unions continue to raise their voice on their behalf.

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